Rich, it’s true that there are lots of big questions still. I think we do have some pretty good estimates though on things like mortality rate, and those numbers aren’t being media generated. These data are coming from mostly the CDC, NIH, NIAID,WHO, etc; how media has reported on that data has been variable ... but the information is there to be had. The 2% mortality rate is suspected to be on the high side, due to the unknown numbers of people infected, but experts on the front line such Dr. Anthony Fauci have suggested that 1% would be a bottom level estimate (still 50 times higher mortality rate than H1N1).
As far as transmission rates, the fact that there has been so little testing here, the long incubation period, and the larger numbers of mild symptoms or asymptotic cases, all combine to make this particular virus extremely difficult to contain. Those reasons are central in the cause for concern. This concern isn’t coming from news media; it’s coming from every medical expert in the world who is involved in fighting the pandemic. Many health experts have been saying that we haven’t done enough fast enough, and that one of the big problems has been the number of people not taking this serious enough. Judging by the information we do have, I’m inclined to agree with that assessment 100%!
Last edited by JasonB; 03-25-2020 at 07:59 AM.
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