AR flows

[STEELIES/26c3]

SO my prediction back in May was 13 days ahead of schedule...

I said 2000 cfs on October 1, 2017 and here are the actuals:

Plot of Reservoir, Scheduled Release

Date / Time REL SCH
10/03/2017 21:00 3100 cfs
10/04/2017 21:00 3000 cfs
10/05/2017 21:00 2900 cfs
10/06/2017 21:00 2800 cfs
10/07/2017 21:00 2700 cfs
10/08/2017 21:00 2600 cfs
10/09/2017 21:00 2500 cfs
10/10/2017 21:00 2400 cfs
10/11/2017 21:00 2300 cfs
10/12/2017 21:00 2200 cfs
10/13/2017 21:00 2100 cfs
10/14/2017 21:00 2000 cfs

[Bill Kiene semi-retired]

Unless we get early rains it should stay that way for a while.

[STEELIES/26c3]

Yes, and even early rains shouldn't make much difference. The first rains always percolate and seldom make it to the reservoirs in any substantial volume.

Should be a great steelhead season.

[Bill Kiene semi-retired]

Yes, we are lucky to have our little clear river right in town.

[Troutsource]

Still a long ways off, but at this moment Accuweather is forecasting ~14" of rain in December for the Lower American River area:


https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/granite-bay-ca/95746/december-weather/2189754?monyr=12/1/2017&view=table

[hwchubb]

Neat site - thanks for sharing that. How accurate has their long-range forecasting been in the past?

[Troutsource]

Not very accurate this far out. But it's at least entertaining to look at.

[Terry Thomas]

Floated the river yesterday with Andy. Interesting to see the changes, some for the better and some come not so much. Didn’t land any adults or half pounders. Found two schooly strippers and one quarter pounder. Starting to see some redds with a small number of salmon. (Sunrise to Grist Mill)